There is one thing that would put a serious cat amongst the pigeons for today’s gold and tech blowoff rallies, and that is an oil shock. A rising DXY chasing climbing real interest rates and inflation is a perfect storm for duration and gold. The news, then, is unsettling for bulls. U.S. President Donald Trump
A probable meeting between Xi and Trump next week gave some stability to markets over macro concerns that have outweighed earnings release on Wall Street, which rallied alongside European stocks overnight. Oil prices headed higher on more Ruzzian refinery setbacks and likely sanctions while the USD moved slightly lower against most of the majors except
Asian share markets are facing mixed sentiment throughout the region with a squeeze on Ruzzian oil due to sanctions helping the sweet crude market while Japanese politics are seeing a selloff in Yen and in stocks. Currency markets are seeing some strength return to the USD which has been taking back its recent lost ground
Australia’s auction market performed solidly again over the weekend, despite a high number of listings. According to Cotality, the national preliminary auction clearance rate rose to 73.8%, up from 73.0% the weekend prior and 58.2% in the same weekend of last year. “The clearance rate is an indicator that prices are going to continue to
New Zealand experienced one of the developed world’s largest rises in home values over the first 25 years of this century. However, as illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, New Zealand dwelling values have recently crashed back to 2019 levels, representing one of the largest property busts in the developed world. One year
Victoria disease is the phenomenon of a permanent Labor government leading to a mass-immigration-led economy without the aforethought of appropriate supply-side expansion to accommodate it. This economic model crush-loads public services amid fiscal wreckage, crowds out private sector growth, triggers housing perma-crisis, falling living standards and disenfranchised violence. Symptoms are everywhere. Private security guards patrolling
The Albanese government’s Housing Accord, signed with the states at National Cabinet in 2023, set a target to build 1.2 million homes over the five years from FY2025 to FY2029. This target requires 240,000 homes to be built annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) last week released dwelling construction data for the June quarter
By Lucinda Jerogin, Associate Economist at CBA The unemployment rate ticked up to 4.5% in September. The Minutes from the September RBA Monetary Policy Board Meeting and several RBA speeches this week reinforced the more hawkish tone struck in the Statement and accompanying press conference. The CommBank Household Spending Insights Index recorded its seventh consecutive
DXY fell away. This time AUD enjoyed relief. CNY resumed the plod higher. Oil is in trouble. Gold finally popped. Metals too. And miners. EM at the highs. Junk still worried. The bond rally paused. Stocks lifted a bit. Trump eased the rhetoric on China. As usual, the loon is predictable only in the unpredictability
International Reading: 24% of Republicans think the economy is deteriorating, compared with 60% of independents and 67% of Democrats. – The Guardian Tariff costs to companies this year to hit $1.2 trillion, with consumers taking most of the hit, S&P says – CNBC Trump’s Big Brag About The Economy Crushed By Brutal New Poll –