Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary
Renew Economy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:42 Source
Read more Views: 321
MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:30 Source

We’ve suddenly lurched from AI is unstoppable to a growth scare as jobs data weakens. The Market Ear. Wishing & hoping & thinking & praying AI mentions on earnings calls have exploded tenfold. Retail traders are back chasing the Mag7. Tech giants are borrowing record sums to fund data centers. For now, optimism is profit

The post Stocks blow off the froth appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 231
Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:24
Read more Views: 12
Renew Economy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:12 Source
Read more Views: 285
MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The Grattan Institute was at it again this week, claiming that Australia could magically solve its housing shortage if governments only permitted three-storey buildings to be allowed on any residential block in any suburb. “The key problem is that state and territory land-use planning systems say ‘no’ to new housing by default, and ‘yes’ only

The post YIMBYs deliver fake property boom appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 228
xkcd.com Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:00 Source

At least people who make religious predictions of the apocalypse have an answer to the question 'Why didn't you predict any of the other ones that happened recently?'

Read more Views: 168
MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The ferrous jaws must close. CIAS output for the last ten days of October crashed 9.8% with steel profitability. CISA steel inventories fell even faster, down 11.8% to 14.63mt. Yet steel could still not get a bid. The MacroMicro series, the source of which is not disclosed, rose in the past week. MySteel data for

The post Iron ore at the cliff’s edge appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 228
MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Weak job market signals kicked the DXY rally in the teeth. AUD fell anyway on growth worries.   CNY up. Gold is trying to base. AI metals were mixed. Miners popped. EM too. Junk is holding. Bonds rallied after dodgy US jobs data. Stocks are blowing the froth off. Adding to a potential reversal in

The post Australian dollar rocket refuses to launch appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 259
MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 09:30 Source

The Australian right is tearing itself apart over net zero. This is so foolish, and the answer is so simple. In fact, the party took the policy to the last election. The only reason this fight is still happening is that the energy transition is failing on affordability. This is giving climate and energy sceptics

The post Gas cartel delivers Labor permanent power appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 262
MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Overnight saw the fear around the AI bubble rise again as Wall Street cratered, but also some reality crept in as private job data indicated more job cuts than growth in the US economy as the bite from the government shutdown continues to be felt. Meanwhile the Bank of England held fire in its latest

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 281
MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 00:05 Source

One month ago, I argued that the Australian Treasury’s modelling of Labor’s 5% deposit scheme for first home buyers was proof that Treasury had become a propaganda arm of the federal government. Under Labor’s First Home Guarantee scheme, which came into effect at the beginning of October, virtually all first home buyers can purchase a

The post RBA skewers Treasury housing propaganda appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 257
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Asian equities are doing well as markets start to price the possibility that the US tariffs maybe reversed following initial comments from the US Supreme Court challenge, although that institution is as compromised as Congress so don’t hold your breath. Only local stocks failed to perform well with the USD still firm against most of

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 299
Renew Economy Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 14:43 Source

Stubbo solar farm.

Read more Views: 248
Renew Economy Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 14:40 Source

Read more Views: 400
Renew Economy Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 14:30 Source
Read more Views: 319
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 14:00 Source

The New Zealand economy continues to push through its housing bust and economic downturn. Yesterday, unemployment came in at 5.3% for the September quarter. The participation rate continues to fall to 70.3% as jobs become more scarce, holding down the headline unemployment rate. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, the underutilisation rate

Read more Views: 277
Renew Economy Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 13:43 Source
Read more Views: 313
Renew Economy Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 13:35 Source
Read more Views: 281
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 13:30 Source

A new study, entitled “Perverse policy incentives and inferior economic outcomes” has exposed the failings of Australia’s migration system, particularly the student visa system. The study’s abstract is presented below: Between 1999 and 2012, Australia enacted a raft of policies that advantaged overseas students when applying for permanent residency, through the so-called 880 visa series. These policies

Read more Views: 291
Renew Economy Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 13:03 Source
Read more Views: 263
Renew Economy Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 13:03 Source
Read more Views: 279
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The Market Ear on a market trying to find sanity. Muted fear The sell-off has stretched across several sessions, yet volatilities have remained orderly, a stark contrast to October’s sharp spike. The VIX reaction so far is muted, a “fearless” unwind where complacency lingers and volatility still refuses to show up. With little fear The

The post Stocks try to find sanity appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 283
Renew Economy Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 12:57 Source
Read more Views: 255
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 12:30 Source

For a long time, I have bewailed the rise of fake left and its obsession with culture war issues like genitals, Palestine and racism. The substitution of this grab bag of identity politics for issues of class has led directly to the rise of the populist right in the shape of Donald Trump as American

The post Trump births American real left appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 238
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 12:05 Source

ANZ has a few nice charts showing how labour costs have nothing to do with the recent inflation pop. The Q3 trimmed mean inflation print is likely to have been a ‘one-off’. Several factors point to that conclusion, including business survey price and cost measures, the tendency for Q3 inflation prints in recent years to

The post RBA panic merchant to cut deeper appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 203
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 12:00 Source

In this week’s podcast, Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen, examines the political storm hitting the healthcare sector — how comments and policy risks from Trump and RFK Jr. are weighing on valuations, whether today’s beaten-down prices could present a long-term buying opportunity, or if lasting damage to the sector’s economics and social licence

The post MB Fund Podcast: Vaccinate or Evacuate? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 252
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 11:30 Source

In 2023, the Victorian government committed to delivering 80,000 new homes annually for the next decade, with a target of 2 million by 2051. To achieve its target, the government has implemented an authoritarian plan to seize control of planning from local governments and create 50 activity zones designated for high-density apartments. The government last week

Read more Views: 252
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Earlier this month, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese was interviewed by The Australian, during which he was questioned about his plan for “Universal Childcare”. Albanese confirmed that this would be a major focus of the government for 2025 but remained guarded on exactly what that might look like in reality. “We’ll worry about that next year,”

The post ‘Universal Childcare’ risks becoming NDIS 2.0 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 305
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Steel is in freefall again. This does not include yesterday, when rebar fell another 1.4% and HRC 1.2%. The ferrous jaws must close. Simandou is getting coverage everywhere now. Some nice images here from Bloomberg. But the AFR has a much better piece with some great detail. …most analysts are sceptical about the potential for

The post Bottom falls out of iron ore market appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 248
MacroBusiness Thursday, November 6, 2025 - 10:00 Source

DXY is breaking out still. AUD rebounded in its fading trend. CNY meh. Gold trying to hold. AI metals a better day. The chosen one bounced. EM too. Junk held. But there’s trouble in them thar yields. Stocks rose anyway. I remain cautious on the crap complex—commodities, EM, AUD—while the bond backup and rising DXY

The post UBS thumps AUD table. Hurts fist appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 297

Pages